An eye-opening look at the ways we misjudge risk every day and a guide to making better decisions with our money, health, and personal lives
In the age of Big Data we often believe that our predictions about the future are better than ever before. But as risk expert Gerd Gigerenzer shows, the surprising truth is that in the real world, we often get better results by using simple rules and considering less information.
In Risk Savvy, Gigerenzer reveals that most of us, including doctors, lawyers, financial advisers, and elected officials, misunderstand statistics much more often than we think, leaving us not only misinformed, but vulnerable to exploitation. Yet there is hope. Anyone can learn to make better decisions for their health, finances, family, and business without needing to consult an expert or a super computer, and Gigerenzer shows us how.
Risk Savvy is an insightful and easy-to-understand remedy to our collective information overload and an essential guide to making smart, confident decisions in the face of uncertainty.
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Gerd Gigerenzer, a former professor of psychology at the University of Chicago, is the director of the Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin. He is the author of Calculated Risks: How to Know When Numbers Deceive You, the German translation of which won the 2002 Scientific Book of the Year Prize, and coauthor of Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart and Bounded Rationality: The Adaptive Toolbox.