Maverick thinker Nassim Nicholas Taleb had an illustrious career on Wall Street before turning his focus to his black swan theory. Not all swans are white, and not all events-no matter what the experts think-are predictable. Taleb shows that black swans, like 9/11, cannot be foreseen and have an immeasurable impact on the world. "[Taleb] administers a severe thrashing to MBA- and Nobel Prize-credentialed experts who make their living from economic forecasting."-Booklist
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"This book challenges the way we think, and is quite entertaining as well. Randomness and probability are fascinating subjects to me, and this book has an eye-opening approach to these subjects. There is something in here that relates to every aspect of life...HIGHLY recommended."
— Z (5 out of 5 stars)
" Many things happen without formula. We cannot arrange the formula to achive it. We only culd propose the systematic thinking about it after the things happen. Such as 11 september at 2001. Black Swan are about those things. "
— Ikhwan, 1/16/2014" I liked the ideas that were presented. Taleb makes you think and shows you the thought habits you have fallen into. However, to me the book felt as an accusation of scientist/academics, who allegedly think too highly of themselves, ignore common sense and do research that is not useful in practice. In my perspective, that is a very exagorated, limited and unnuanced view of academia . Taleb might want to update as well, e.g. He might want to discuss evolutionary economics, which solves a lot of his critique on neoclassical economics. "
— Marjolein, 1/14/2014" Only read this book if you love math and statistics. Otherwise I think it would be a boring read. "
— Debbie, 1/14/2014" Not so clear. The author has his own ideas about randomness, information etc. but he isn't a good teacher, he's not able to demonstrate his thesys, only to show them. If you are not convinced he won't convince you. "
— Domenico, 1/7/2014" This is a must read book. Don't agree with everything but it is quite a nice take on a lot of important topics. "
— Vern, 12/31/2013" The Black Swan changed the way I think. If there is one sure-fire way to improve your thinking, it is to identify and disassemble your own cognitive biases. Taleb arms the reader with the tools to do so. "
— Ziyad, 11/27/2013" Although this book could do with some editing, it was quite informative about randomness and probability. "
— Ke, 6/11/2013" Un livre qui donne l'impression de devenir un peu plus intelligent "
— Bruno, 5/20/2013" I liked that Taleb questioned assumptions. I disliked his broad generalizations. I had a hard time finishing this book, but forced myself to because it challenged my view of statistics and the world. "
— Jared, 4/8/2013" I'd say, author uses a lot of qualitative approaches to mathematical terms. However I share his main approach: everything could happened and nobody could predict that! The only way to survive and be succesfull is to get use out of stochastic events, which he called Black Swans. "
— Max, 2/23/2013" I got the point early on in this book and finally put it down. "
— Dan, 12/10/2012Nassim Nicholas Taleb is the New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, Fooled By Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets, Antifragile: Things that Gain from Disorder, and others. In addition to his books, he has written many academic essays and articles for scholarly journals. He received a PhD, MS, and BS from the University of Paris and an MBA from the University of Pennsylvania. He is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University’s Polytechnic Institute and has given lectures at Oxford University, Stanford University, and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, among others.
David Chandler is an Earphones Award–winning narrator who has read numerous titles for New York Times bestselling authors William Kent Krueger and C. J. Box, among others.