Did you know that baseball players whose names begin with the letter “D” are more likely to die young? Or that Asian Americans are most susceptible to heart attacks on the fourth day of the month? Or that drinking a full pot of coffee every morning will add years to your life, but one cup a day increases the risk of pancreatic cancer? All of these “facts” have been argued with a straight face by credentialed researchers and backed up with reams of data and convincing statistics.
As Nobel Prize–winning economist Ronald Coase once cynically observed, “If you torture data long enough, it will confess.” Lying with statistics is a time-honored con. In Standard Deviations, economics professor Gary Smith walks us through the various tricks and traps that people use to back up their own crackpot theories. Sometimes, the unscrupulous deliberately try to mislead us. Other times, the well-intentioned are blissfully unaware of the mischief they are committing. Today, data is so plentiful that researchers spend precious little time distinguishing between good, meaningful indicators and total rubbish. Not only do others use data to fool us, we fool ourselves.
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“How not to be deceived by lies masquerading as statistics…This should be required reading for everyone living in this age of (too much?) information.”
— Arthur Benjamin, professor of mathematics and bestselling author of Secrets of Mental Math
“A very entertaining book about a very serious problem. We deceive ourselves all the time with statistics, and it is time we wised up.”
— Robert J. Shiller, winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics“I know of no other book that explains important concepts such as selection bias in such an entertaining and memorable manner.”
— Richard J. Murnane, Thompson Professor of Education and Society, Harvard Graduate School of Education“An approachable and effective means to arm oneself against the onslaught statistical hyperbole in our modern age.”
— Bryan White, Managing Director, BlackRock, Inc.Be the first to write a review about this audiobook!
Gary Smith is the Fletcher Jones Professor of Economics at Pomona College in Claremont, California. He received his doctorate in economics from Yale University and taught there as assistant professor for seven years. Smith has won two teaching awards and has authored more than seventy academic papers, nine textbooks, and seven educational software programs.
Timothy Andrés Pabon is an English- and Spanish-speaking voice-over artist who has worked extensively in advertising and audiobook narration. He has had acting roles on House of Cards and has also been a costar on HBO’s acclaimed series The Wire opposite country music legend Steve Earl. As a stage actor, he has worked off-Broadway at the June Havoc Theatre, and his regional credits include Center Stage, the Shakespeare Theatre, Arena Stage, the Hippodrome, Olney Theatre, Rep Stage, and GALA Hispanic Theatre.